隔夜市场 等待CPI数据决定加息前景

在今晚公布美国消费物价指数 (CPI) 通胀数据之前,市场感到紧张。 预计美国通胀将回升,这令市场感到不安。 美联储成员卡什卡利隔夜发表讲话,表示在通胀完全得到抑制之前不会降息。 由于美国经济数据强于预期,扩大了央行的自由度,预计今年的降息可能会被推迟。 随着美国选举带来的政治压力,美联储更有可能在今年晚些时候采取行动。 市场还在等待“美联储会议纪要”和新西兰联储利率决定的发布。 加拿大银行和欧洲央行。 在本周晚些时候公布关键 GDP 数据之前,欧元交投于 1.0850,而英镑则升至 1.2650 上方。
商品货币继续走软,澳元兑美元交投于 0.6600 上方,新西兰商业信心在最近复苏后再次陷入低迷,新西兰元在新西兰联储会议和利率决定之前小幅上涨至 0.6050。
Markets were nervous ahead of the key US CPI inflation number, due out tonight. Inflation in the US is expected to spike back upwards, sending jitters through markets, which expect the Fed to cut rates. Fed Member Kashkari spoke overnight, and suggested rate cuts would not come, until inflation is completely tamed. The projected rate cuts expected this year, may be deferred, as US economic data has been stronger than expected extending the Central Bank’s latitude. The Fed will more likely act later in the year, as political pressure builds into the looming Federal election. Markets also await the release of the ‘Fed Minutes’ and rate decisions from the RBNZ. Bank of Canada and the ECB. The EUR traded 1.0850, while the GBP moved above 1.2650, ahead of key GDP data later in the week.
Commodity currencies continued to prosper the softer reserve, with the AUD trading above 0.6600, while the NZD inches up to 0.6050 ahead of the RBNZ meeting and rate decision. NZ Business Confidence plummeted back into the doldrums, after a recent resurgence, but elevated interest rates do not help.
en_NZEnglish (New Zealand)
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