隔夜市场 通胀确认走低 市场焦点转向经济增长

随着欧洲和美国通胀大幅下滑,市场信心持续增强,这预示着央行加息可能结束。 最新的证据来自欧盟的通胀数据,总体CPI从 4.3% 骤降至 2.9%。 这对于央行行长和更广泛的经济体来说是个好消息,因为极速地加息损害了经济增长。 现在的问题是在没有通货膨胀的情况下如何重新启动经济增长。 11 月份开始以来股市继续上涨,美国和欧洲债券收益率也持续下跌。 美元走软,使得欧元重回1.0900,而英镑则回落至1.2450。

通胀问题已不再成为头条新闻,但疲软的欧洲和美国经济严重打击了大宗商品需求,最近油价暴跌就证明了这一点。 疲软的储备已被疲弱的需求压力所抵消,纽元保持在 0.6000 以下,而澳元则努力保持在 0.6500。 未来一周将关注经济增长以及央行的猜测和评论。


Market confidence continues to grow, as inflation tumbles across Europe and the US, signalling a probable end to Central Bank interest rate rises. The latest confirmation, came from the EU latest inflation reading, with the headline rate plunging from 4.3% to 2.9%. This is great news for Central Bankers and the wider economies, as interest rate rises have damaged growth. The problem now is reigniting economic growth without inflation. The November rally in equity markets continues, as does the fall in US and European Bond Yields. The US Dollar was softer, allowing the EUR to regain 1.0900, while the GBP pushed back to 1.2450.

The inflation problem is falling from the headlines, but the weak European and US economies have hit commodity demand hard, as evidenced by the recent collapse in Oil prices. The weaker reserve has been offset by flagging demand pressures, with the NZD holding below 0.6000, while the AUD struggles to hold 0.6500. The coming week will focus on economic growth and Central Bank speculations and commentaries.

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