美国CPI通胀数据强于预期,扭转了下跌趋势,飙升至3.5%。 结合美联储会议纪要,确认需要“更长时间地维持较高利率”,直到通胀率回到 2% 或更低。 这对市场产生了直接影响,债券收益率和美元均大幅上涨,而美国股市则暴跌。 目前市场预计直到今年下半年才会出现利率下调。 美国债券收益率飙升,支撑美元走强,日元跌向153.00。 欧洲似乎在应对通货膨胀方面做得更好,其国民经济陷入深度衰退,挪威最新的通胀数据进一步证实了这一点。 挪威的通胀率从 4.5% 降至 3.9%,追随其他欧盟国家。 欧元暴跌至1.0730,而英镑则跌回1.2500。
美元的复苏扭转了商品货币近期的涨幅。 新西兰联储维持新西兰利率不变,但发布后的言论中谈论了维持较高利率并抑制通胀。 这对新西兰元产生了预期的影响,新西兰元最初上涨,但来自美国的通胀消息打破了纽元的走势。 纽元跌至 0.5970,而澳元似乎将测试 0.6500,维持下行。 通胀担忧以及评级机构惠誉对中国经济的警告给市场蒙上了一层阴霾。
US CPI inflation data was hotter than expected, reversing the trends lower, spiking up to 3.5%. This combined with the Fed Minutes, confirming the need to hold rates ‘higher for longer’, until inflation returns to 2%, or below. This had an immediate impact on markets, with bond yields and the US Dollar all gapping upwards, while US equities tumbled lower. Markets are now not expected any interest rate relief until the second half of the calendar year. The surge in US Bond Yields, supported the stronger US Dollar, with the Yen collapsing towards 153.00. Europe appears to be dealing with inflation much better, by slamming their national economies into deep recession and this was reinforced by the latest Norwegian inflation reading. Norway’s inflation plunged to 3.9%, from 4.5%, copying other EU nations. The EUR crashed to 1.0730, while the GBP slumped back towards 1.2500.
The resurgent reserve reversed recent gains in commodity currencies. The RBNZ left rates unchanged in NZ, but talked a big game, about holding rates higher and squeezing out inflation. This has the desired impact on the NZD, which initially pushed upwards, but the news from the US on inflation, destroyed that narrative. The NZD crashed back to 0.5970, while the AUD looks set to test 0.6500, to the downside. Inflation fears and warnings over the Chinese economy from ratings agency Fitch cast a pall of gloom over markets.
美元的复苏扭转了商品货币近期的涨幅。 新西兰联储维持新西兰利率不变,但发布后的言论中谈论了维持较高利率并抑制通胀。 这对新西兰元产生了预期的影响,新西兰元最初上涨,但来自美国的通胀消息打破了纽元的走势。 纽元跌至 0.5970,而澳元似乎将测试 0.6500,维持下行。 通胀担忧以及评级机构惠誉对中国经济的警告给市场蒙上了一层阴霾。
US CPI inflation data was hotter than expected, reversing the trends lower, spiking up to 3.5%. This combined with the Fed Minutes, confirming the need to hold rates ‘higher for longer’, until inflation returns to 2%, or below. This had an immediate impact on markets, with bond yields and the US Dollar all gapping upwards, while US equities tumbled lower. Markets are now not expected any interest rate relief until the second half of the calendar year. The surge in US Bond Yields, supported the stronger US Dollar, with the Yen collapsing towards 153.00. Europe appears to be dealing with inflation much better, by slamming their national economies into deep recession and this was reinforced by the latest Norwegian inflation reading. Norway’s inflation plunged to 3.9%, from 4.5%, copying other EU nations. The EUR crashed to 1.0730, while the GBP slumped back towards 1.2500.
The resurgent reserve reversed recent gains in commodity currencies. The RBNZ left rates unchanged in NZ, but talked a big game, about holding rates higher and squeezing out inflation. This has the desired impact on the NZD, which initially pushed upwards, but the news from the US on inflation, destroyed that narrative. The NZD crashed back to 0.5970, while the AUD looks set to test 0.6500, to the downside. Inflation fears and warnings over the Chinese economy from ratings agency Fitch cast a pall of gloom over markets.