隔夜市场 经济增长比通胀更重要

欧洲央行发布了《金融稳定报告》,警告称经济增长变缓对欧盟的威胁大于通胀带来的威胁。再加上乌克兰地缘政治紧张局势加剧,抑制了股市的热情。欧元也回落至 1.0500,而英镑则受到强于预期的通胀数据的支撑。英国 CPI 从之前的 1.7% 飙升至年化 2.3%,考虑到政府采取的财政路线,这并不令人意外。英镑交易价约为 1.2650,尽管美元上涨,但仍保持坚挺,因为英国央行现在面临着将利率维持在高位的压力。
美元上涨重新对商品货币产生下行压力,纽元跌至 0.5900 以下,而澳元跌至 0.6500。中国人民银行在其最新决定中维持利率不变,而日本贸易数据略好于预期。日元疲软刺激了出口,而进口则停滞不前。随着通胀压力上升,日本央行将进一步加息。


The ECB released their Financial Stability Report, warning that economic growth was now a greater threat to the EU, than inflation. This combined with rising Geo-Political tensions in the Ukraine was enough to dampen enthusiasm on equity markets. The EUR also dipped back to trade 1.0500, while the GBP was supported by stronger than expected inflation data. UK CPI spiked back to an annualised 2.3%, from a previous 1.7%, which was no surprise considering the fiscal path the Government has taken. The GBP traded around 1.2650, holding ground despite a rally in the reserve, as the pressure is now on the Bank of England to hold interest rates at elevated levels.
 
The rising US Dollar was enough to resume downward pressure on the commodity currencies, with the NZD crashing back below 0.5900, while the AUD surrendered 0.6500. The PBoC left rates unchanged, in their latest decision, while Japanese trade numbers were slightly better than expected. The weak Yen has spurred exports, while imports remain stagnant. The Bank of Japan are in line to further increase rates as inflationary pressures rise.

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