为期两天的 FOMC 会议今天开始,市场关注的焦点是美联储利率决定和之后的评论。市场对降息的预期几乎为零,并且预计将于今年晚些时候降息的可能性也越来越小。美国通胀仍然居高不下,美联储致力于在降息之前赢得这场战争。欧洲央行则已采取降息措施,欧洲的经济衰退已有效地控制了通胀危机。美国通过大规模的财政和货币刺激避免了经济衰退,如果美联储决定长期维持利率,这将给市场和债务持有人带来压力。持有大量美国债务的银行将面临压力,某些国家也将面临压力。英国失业率从 4.3% 跃升至 4.4%,但工资增长率在三个月内飙升了 6%。这将是英国央行的主要担忧,并引发人们对未来降息的怀疑。英镑受此消息支撑,交易价为 1.2750,而欧元则跌至 1.0750。
美联储利率决定前,澳元交易价在 0.6600 左右,而新西兰元则在 0.6100 上方盘整。欧洲的注意力仍然集中在经济增长和通胀上,而整体市场则专注于美联储。
The two-day FOMC meeting began today, with market attention focused on the Federal Reserve rate decision and accompanying commentary. Market expectations for a cut are almost zero, while the expected rate cut later in the year, appears less and less likely. Inflation remains stubbornly high, and the Fed is committed to winning this war, before any cuts can be instituted. The ECB has taken that step, as the recession in Europe has effectively managed the inflation crises. The US avoided recession, through massive fiscal and monetary stimulus, flagging the most effective inflation killer. If the Fed decide to hold rates, higher for longer, this will add pressure to markets and debt holders. Banks with high volumes of US debt, will come under pressure, as will a particular Country. The UK Unemployment rate jumped to 4.4%, from 4.3%, but wage growth spiked 6% for the three-month period. This will be a major concern for the Bank of England and issue doubts over future rate cuts. The GBP was supported by the news, trading 1.2750, while the EUR drifted to 1.0750.
The inaction from the reserve ahead of the Fed’s rate decision, allowed the AUD to trade around 0.6600, while the NZD consolidated above 0.6100. Europe’s attention remains on growth and inflation, while overall the markets, are preoccupied with the Fed.
美联储利率决定前,澳元交易价在 0.6600 左右,而新西兰元则在 0.6100 上方盘整。欧洲的注意力仍然集中在经济增长和通胀上,而整体市场则专注于美联储。
The two-day FOMC meeting began today, with market attention focused on the Federal Reserve rate decision and accompanying commentary. Market expectations for a cut are almost zero, while the expected rate cut later in the year, appears less and less likely. Inflation remains stubbornly high, and the Fed is committed to winning this war, before any cuts can be instituted. The ECB has taken that step, as the recession in Europe has effectively managed the inflation crises. The US avoided recession, through massive fiscal and monetary stimulus, flagging the most effective inflation killer. If the Fed decide to hold rates, higher for longer, this will add pressure to markets and debt holders. Banks with high volumes of US debt, will come under pressure, as will a particular Country. The UK Unemployment rate jumped to 4.4%, from 4.3%, but wage growth spiked 6% for the three-month period. This will be a major concern for the Bank of England and issue doubts over future rate cuts. The GBP was supported by the news, trading 1.2750, while the EUR drifted to 1.0750.
The inaction from the reserve ahead of the Fed’s rate decision, allowed the AUD to trade around 0.6600, while the NZD consolidated above 0.6100. Europe’s attention remains on growth and inflation, while overall the markets, are preoccupied with the Fed.