隔夜市场 欧洲政治动荡影响市场

周五,欧洲市场走势不佳。欧洲一周政治动荡,在欧洲议会选举中,欧洲执政党遭到否决,法国总统不得不提前举行议会选举,比利时首先则被迫辞职。英国大选迫在眉睫,保守党政府几乎肯定会被赶下台,取而代之的是工党领导的政府。不幸的是,欧洲目前除了几个边缘国家外,均由一群极其脱节的精英领导。问题的根源是政治,但欧洲经济衰退也反映出这一点,这引发了人们日益增长的不满。最近的政治动荡、反抗战争、制裁和生活水平的下降都体现了这一点。欧洲股市周五崩盘,似乎近期将出现动荡。欧元跌破 1.0700,英镑跌至 1.2680。
更坚挺的美元迫使商品货币走低,澳元勉强维持在 0.6600,而新西兰元则跌至 0.6120。未来一周将一如既往地重点关注增长和通胀。澳大利亚央行和英国央行将于本周公布最新利率决定,预计不会有任何变化,但叙述将极其重要。欧洲政治动荡可能会持续下去,美国也无法幸免。石油的下跌在很大程度上没有引起注意,但这将对货币和经济产生重大影响,因为严重而根本性的后果正在消退。
European markets went pear-shaped Friday, to close out a week of political turmoil, in Europe. The European elections saw a repudiation of the ruling political parties in Europe, enough so to prompt the Franch President to call a snap Parliamentary election and force the resignation of the Belgian PM. The looming UK elections will almost certainly see the terrible Conservative Government be sent packing, only to be replaced by a Labour led Government. Europe is sadly led by an extremely disconnected elites, except in a couple of peripheral Countries. The root of the problem is political, but is reflected in the economic decline in Europe, that has triggered the peoples growing dissatisfaction. This is manifested in the recent political upheaval, rebelling against war, sanctions and tumbling standards of living. European equity market crashed on Friday, in reaction, and looks set for a volatile near future. The EUR crashed below 1.0700, while the GBP slumped to 1.2680.
The firmer reserve forced commodity currencies lower, with the AUD barely holding 0.6600, while the NZD fell to 0.6120. The coming week will be focused heavily on growth and inflation, as always. The RBA and Bank of England announce their latest interest rate decision, this coming week and no changes are expected, but the narrative will be extremely important. European political turmoil will likely continue and the US will not be immune. The fall of the Petro/$$ has gone largely unnoticed, but this will have a significant impact on currencies and economies, as the serious and fundamental repercussion unwind.
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