隔夜市场 市场维持高位,降息预期渐起

在经历了近两周的上涨之后,周五市场盘整,维持交易在历史高位附近。 市场情绪的改善源于美国和欧洲通胀数据走弱后对央行降息的信心。 预计欧洲央行最早可能在本月降息,美联储预计将在第三季度开始放松利率。 这提振了市场情绪,导致债券收益率和美元下跌。 欧元已升至1.0850,而英镑则跃升至1.2700。 未来一周将主要关注经济增长和通胀数据,同时美联储将发布上次会议的最新纪要。 来自亚洲、欧洲和美国的 PMI 数据将引起市场参与者的兴趣。
美元疲软使得商品货币能够继续复苏。 在新西兰联储下周做出最新利率决定之前,澳元正在快速逼近 0.6700,而纽元则在 0.6100 上方盘整。 新西兰联储可能会将利率维持在较高水平,以应对当地经济的持续通胀,同时相关评论也很重要。
Markets consolidated Friday, trading around record highs, following almost two weeks of gains. The improved market sentiment is derived from the confidence in Central Bank interest rate cuts, following soft inflation data in both the US and Europe. The ECB is expected to cut rates as soon as this month, perhaps, and the Fed is expected to begin easing rates in Q3. This has boosted market sentiment and seen bond yields and the US Dollar tumble. The EUR has zoomed up to 1.0850, while the GBP has jumped to 1.2700. The coming week will be dominated with growth and inflation numbers, while the Fed release the latest minutes, from their last meeting. PMI data from Asia, Europe and the US will provide interest to market participants.
The softer reserve has allowed the recovery in commodity currencies to continue. The AUD is fast approaching 0.6700, while the NZD consolidates above 0.6100, ahead of the RBNZ latest rate decision this coming week. The RBNZ is likely to leave rates at elevated levels, to combat persistent inflation in the local economy, while accompanying commentary will be important.
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