隔夜市场 市场盘整,澳洲可能会加息

继上周大幅上涨后,欧洲和美国股市盘整。 上周美联储最新决定停止加息后,市场信心大增,联储暗示“通胀峰值”和“利率峰值”可能已经到来,随后的非农就业数据低于预期以及失业率上升,进一步提振了市场信心,市场认为这是美联储最后一个担忧。 欧洲 PMI 数据弱于预期,仍处于深度收缩模式。 尽管美元保持稳定,但美国债券收益率继上周大幅下跌后出现反弹。 尽管经济消息黯淡,欧元仍维持在 1.0700 上方,而英镑则交投于 1.2350 上方。

日本央行会议纪要确认,其异常宽松的货币政策将有增无减,且无人提出异议。 澳大利亚央行今天召开会议,预计将在墨尔本杯的新闻掩护下加息,该赛事成为澳大利亚的焦点。 澳大利亚央行行长被任命为政府的忠实仆人。 而不是人民的独立公仆,面对严重的通货膨胀,他们可能会通过进一步加息而逃脱惩罚。 在重要会议召开之前,澳元回落至 0.6500 以下,而纽元则维持在 0.5950 上方。


European and US equity markets consolidated, following a huge week of gains, in the previous week. Confidence surged following the Fed’s latest interest rate decision to halt rises. hinting that ‘peak inflation’ and ‘peak interest rates’ may have already arrived. The softer than expected Non-Farm Payrolls number and the rise in unemployment, was a further boon to market confidence, as this was the last remaining concern for the Fed. European PMI data was weaker than expected, remaining deep in contraction mode, as the ECB fight inflation through recession. US Bond Yields rebounded upwards, following heavy falls in the previous week, although the US Dollar was steady. The EUR held above 1.0700, despite the bleak economic news, while the GBP traded above 1.2350.

The Bank of Japan minutes confirmed that their extraordinarily accommodative monetary policy, would continue unabated, with no dissent. The RBA meet today and are expected to raise rates, under cover of the Melbourne Cup, which takes all the focus in Australia. The RBA Governor was appointed as an obedient servant of the Government. rather than the independent servant of the people, and they may get away with further rate rises in the face of aggressive inflation. The AUD slipped back below 0.6500, ahead of the all-important meeting, while the NZD held above 0.5950.

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