隔夜市场 加拿大通胀飙升,市场等待各央行决议

欧盟CPI略低于预期,降至 5.2%,但仍处于过高水平。 加拿大CPI从 3.3% 跃升至 4%,类似美国扭转了近期的下降趋势并显著飙升。 在一系列央行做出关键利率决定之前,石油和其他能源价格开始影响经济,加剧通胀压力。 未来2天,美联储将带头行动,瑞士央行、英格兰银行和日本央行将紧随其后。 英国今晚将公布CPI数据,预计通胀水平将上升,这可能会推动英国央行进一步加息。 美联储可能维持利率不变,但通胀和能源价格开始升温可能会导致联储的鹰派发言。 欧洲和美国的债券收益率正在攀升,央行面临的压力越来越大。 目前,在关键通胀数据和英国央行利率决定公布之前,欧元仍保持在 1.0700 以下,而英镑则交投于 1.2400 以下。
 
澳洲央行会议纪要显示,澳洲央行正在平衡测试经济状况与通胀压力,澳洲央行特别指出欧洲和中国经济状况疲弱,同时强调石油价格上涨。澳洲在新政府的领导下,连央行行长职位也发生了变化,目前正面临着巨大的政治阻力难以提升利率。 在美联储议息会议发布前,市场平衡头寸,澳元反弹至0.6400,而纽元则收复0.5900,目前所有的目光都集中在对各央行未来数天行动的猜测上。


EU inflation was slightly softer than expected, dipping to 5.2%, but remains at far too higher levels. Canadian inflation jumped up to 4%, from 3.3%, reversing the recent trends and spiking upwards. Oil and other energy prices are beginning to impact economies, driving inflationary pressures, ahead of key Central Bank rate decisions. The Fed will lead things out, while the Swiss National Bank, the Bank of England and the Bank of Japan will follow. UK CPI numbers will be released tonight and are expected to show elevated inflation levels, which may push the Bank of England to raise rates further. The Fed may hold rates unchanged, but inflation and energy prices are beginning to heat up. Bond Yields in Europe and the US are creeping higher and the pressure on Central Banks is building. The EUR still remains below 1.0700, while the GBP trades below 1.2400, ahead of the key inflation data and the Bank of England rate decision.
 
The RBA minutes revealed the RBA was balancing testing economic conditions with inflationary pressures. The RBA singled out weak economic conditions in Europe and China, while emphasising the rising price of oil. The RBA is under a new regime, with a change in Governor, battling heavy political headwinds. The easing reserve allowed the AUD to bounce off 0.6400, while the NZD regained 0.5900. All eyes are on inflation and Central Bank speculations and actions.

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