隔夜市场 全球股市对美国债券市场的压力做出反应

全球股市对美国债券市场的压力做出反应,美国10年期债券收益率有望测试5%的重要心理关口。 美国和欧洲经济的通胀压力依然存在,能源价格上涨,增加了美联储进一步加息的可能性。 欧洲央行开会决定利率和货币政策的最新举措,投资者预测,尽管潜在压力更大,但随着整体通胀继续下滑,央行将维持利率不变。 加拿大央行维持利率不变,市场注意力将转向美联储以及对即将加息的猜测。 尽管美国建筑许可证反映了建筑费用,下降了 4.5%,但住房库存仍然充满挑战,美国新屋销售猛增 12.3%。 债券收益率的上升为美元提供了支撑,欧元跌至1.0570,而英镑则回落至1.2100。
 
澳大利亚总体通胀率从 6% 下降至 5.4%,但第三季度的环比涨幅为 1.2%,大大高于 2022 年第三季度。 通货膨胀仍然是澳大利亚经济中的一个严重问题,但新上任的澳大利亚央行行长将执行政府的命令而选择忽视这一问题。美元上升给商品货币带来压力,澳元测试下行0.6300,而纽元可能跌破0.5800。 紧张的市场等待欧洲央行利率决定、美国GDP增长数据和美国PCE通胀数据。



Global equity markets reacted to further pressure from the US Bond market, with the US 10-year bond yield looking to test the important psychological 5% mark. The inflationary pressures remain in the US and European economies, with energy prices on the rise and adding to the likelihood of further rate rises from the Federal Reserve. The ECB meet to decide their latest moves in interest rates and monetary policy. Punters are predicting that the Central bank will leave rates untouched, as headline inflation continues to tumble, although the underling pressure is higher. The Bank of Canada left rates unchanged, now attention will turn to the Fed and speculation of a rate rise to come. US New Home Sales jumped 12.3%, as housing stocks remain challenging, although US Building Permits reflect the expense of building, plunging 4.5%. The rise in bond yields added backbone to the US Dollar, with the EUR falling to 1.0570, while the GBP fell back towards 1.2100.
 
Australian headline inflation tumbled from 6% to 5.4%, but the Q3 number of 1.2%, was substantially higher than the Q3 2022 number. Inflation remains a serious concern within the Australian economy, but will be ignored by the RBA Governor, who was appointed to do the Governments bidding. The rising reserve added pressure to the commodity currencies, with the AUD testing the downside of 0.6300, while the NZD may dip below 0.5800. The ECB rate decision, US GDP growth data and US PCE inflation measures, all await nervous markets.

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