隔夜市场 债券收益率进一步走低

受“利率峰值”已经达到且美联储下一步将考虑降息的说法支撑,全球股市昨夜恢复涨势。 美国和法国的消费者信心有所上升,但德国的消费者信心仍然低迷。 里士满联储制造业指数和达拉斯联储制造业指数均仍处于负值区域。 美国债券收益率走低,美元继续走软。 尽管经济数据黯淡,英镑仍触及1.2700,而欧元则重回1.1000。

美元走低使得商品货币进一步上涨,澳元重回0.6650,而新西兰元在新西兰联储利率决定前突破0.6100。 预计新西兰联储今日将维持利率不变,并因南方腹地的通胀数据极少而感到一些安慰。


The November rally on global equity markets resumed overnight, supported by the presumption that ‘peak interest rates’ have been reached and the Fed will next look at cuts. Consumer Confidence ticked higher in the US and France, but remains in the doldrums, in Germany. The Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index and the Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index both remain in negative territory. US Bond Yields head lower, and the US Dollar continues to weaken. The GBP hit 1.2700, while the EUR regained 1.1000, despite the gloomy economic data.

The softer reserve allowed further gains for commodity currencies, with the AUD regaining 0.6650, while the NZD broke above 0.6100 ahead of the RBNZ interest rate decision. The RBNZ is expected to leave rates unchanged and have some comfort as inflation readings are few and far between in the deep South.

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